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Volatile week ahead?

Next week there are quite a few events scheduled that might cause some volatile days. For those with a weak heart I'd recommend to read the news and not look at your portfolio during the week. So a bunch of economic reports are coming up that could shape expectations as earnings season starts to pick up. In my view, $ASML and $TSM results are going to be especially interesting to watch. Together, they can give a pretty good read on semiconductor demand, AI infrastructure spending, and whether chipmakers are still willing to invest heavily in new capacity. So their results and guidance could potentially influence sentiment across many growth and AI-related names. At the same time, tensions between the US and Iran have flared up again. Anything happening around the Strait of Hormuz could move oil prices quickly, which in turn could affect inflation expectations and interest-rate outlooks. Here’s what I’ll be keeping an eye on: Tuesday • US CPI inflation • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s testimony before Congress • China trade data • Early US bank earnings Wednesday • US PPI inflation • Kevin Warsh’s second day of testimony • Empire State Manufacturing Survey • Bank of Canada interest-rate decision • China Q2 GDP • China industrial production • China retail sales • ASML earnings Thursday • US retail sales • Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey • US pending home sales • Netflix earnings • Taiwan Semiconductor earnings Friday • US industrial production • Preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment Throughout the week • Oil prices and anything related to Iran and the Strait of Hormuz • ECB and Bank of England speakers • Bank earnings setting the tone for the broader earnings season Not every report is going to move the market, but with inflation data, central bank commentary, big semiconductor earnings, and geopolitical risks all in play, there’s definitely room for some volatility. The key question for me is whether any of this actually changes the long-term outlook for the companies I follow. I don’t expect it to change, but positive news could shorten the period for my plays. Copy Trading is not investment advice | Capital at risk | Past performance does not guarantee future results

𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗔𝗜 𝗴𝗼𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗶𝘁 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼?

1️⃣ 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘈𝘐 🖥️ I think we’re still very early in the AI cycle. Most companies are currently focused on the first practical layer: using AI to write code, summarize information, create content, support customers, improve internal processes or connect agents to digital tools like email, chat, calendars, documents and dashboards. Working in software development myself, I can assure you that’s already a big shift. But to me, it still feels like the first chapter. The current AI wave is mostly about improving digital work. It helps people move faster, build faster and automate tasks that used to take a lot of manual effort. Coding agents and workflow agents are a good example of this, they’re already useful, but still not fully integrated in our day to day. On top of that, we’re talking about a digital world and that’s why I see this as the first layer. I see it as a technology that is moving very quickly from promise to practical use, but the bigger impact is still ahead of us. 2️⃣ 𝘞𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘐 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘬 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘳𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘷𝘢𝘯𝘵? 🤖 The next major step, in my opinion, is AI moving from the digital world into the physical world. The information age turned human knowledge into machine-readable infrastructure. Digital agents can control digital things. They can work with software, messages, files, systems and workflows. But once AI connects to cameras, sensors, LiDAR, cars, drones, machines, factories and eventually humanoids, the impact becomes much bigger. At that point, AI is no longer just helping us think, write or automate. It starts to see, interpret and act in the real world. That’s why I’m looking beyond chatbots and software assistants. I think the future of AI will also be built through semiconductors, sensors, vision systems, robotics, automation, edge computing, energy infrastructure and industrial applications. Humanoids are one of the areas I’m especially excited about. They may still be early, and there will be a lot of hype, but the direction makes sense to me. The world is built for humans, so machines that can operate in human environments could become very valuable over time. The information age turned human knowledge into machine-readable infrastructure, AI is turning that infrastructure into machine-executable intelligence. 3️⃣ 𝘏𝘰𝘸 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘐 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘷𝘪𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘪𝘯 𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘰? 🏆 There will be companies with great presentations but weak businesses, there will be overvalued stocks, there will be moments where the market gets too excited, and there will be corrections when expectations move faster than reality. So the way I want to incorporate this vision in our portfolio is by looking for companies that can benefit from this long-term shift. That means I’ll keep watching areas like chips, semiconductor equipment, data infrastructure, sensors, LiDAR, robotics, automation, energy and companies that can apply AI in the physical economy. This defines a clear segment I’ll be following, it marks my playing field where I can trade high risk assets and where time is our joker in case a trade goes south. I know this will not be a smooth ride, replacing humans with humanoids will receive a lot of pushback and requires lots of politics, but it’s only a matter of time. As always, I’ll try to balance conviction with risk management. The vision can be strong, but the portfolio still needs discipline. 𝘊𝘰𝘱𝘺 𝘛𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦 | 𝘊𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘵 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬 | 𝘗𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘥𝘰𝘦𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘨𝘶𝘢𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘦 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘶𝘭𝘵𝘴.

Newest note from eToro

A quick question for those who read my posts, what do you think about AI generated posts? With everything AI, I've been heavily experimenting and looking into use cases that can help me in my investing journey. I've come to a point where I have some useful AI output, one of them is daily updates on what happened in the market catered to my portfolio, another is a weekly market forecast. At the moment I write my posts manually, which requires time and is what I currently don't have (I rather focus on the market, then sharing what I see). But besides my own posts , I could also start sharing the daily updates, they don't feel like AI slop and provide an additional view that I didn't think of myself. Would you be interested in such a daily post?